Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Senior Bonds


After covered bonds and deposits, the next safest major bank investment is a “senior-ranking” but unsecured bond, rated “AA-”. Today this pays a return of about 4.3 per cent, which is also better than the average deposit.
Like covered bonds, these senior bonds are not easy to access as they are traded in the wholesale market and require minimum investments of $500,000. Two ways to tap into them are through a managed fund that focuses on fixed income, or via a broker like FIIG, which breaks bonds up into smaller chunks.
In the past year, Westpac, ANZ Banking Group and National Australia Bank have listed on the ASX $4 billion worth of “subordinated bonds”, which rank behind senior creditors but ahead of everyone else. These are not to be confused with hybrids, which give banks the option of not paying you dividends, have ultra-long if not perpetual terms, and convert into equity under adverse scenarios. The new ASX subordinated bonds have fixed maturities and legally binding payment obligations. They currently offer interest rates around 6 per cent.

Saturday, October 13, 2012

What are covered bonds?


The safest of all bank investments is a “covered bond”, which is secured by a specifically identified pool of assets. If the bank goes bust, you have recourse to these assets ahead of anyone, including depositors. In fact, the “AAA” covered bond rating is higher than the bank’s “AA-“ rating.
While covered bonds may have a five-year term, you can trade in and out of them every day. They are bought and sold in the liquid “wholesale” bond market, and settled via a platform called Austraclear, which the Australian Stock Exchange owns. And, like a variable or fixed-term deposit, you can get “floating” or fixed covered bonds.
A fixed covered bond pays the same coupon over its life. The variable option provides a predetermined margin above a variable benchmark that is reset every quarter. This benchmark broadly tracks the RBA’s cash rate, and is called the 90-day bank bill swap rate. Today it is around 3.2 per cent. CBA’s variable rate covered bond currently pays 3.9 per cent, which is slightly better than the average bank deposit.
There has been a striking compression in the cost of bank bonds. When CBA issued its first covered bond in January, it was required to pay investors a margin of 1.75 per cent above the bank bill rate. Today the same bond offers a margin of only 0.7 per cent. While incoming investors are receiving lower returns, the original ones made terrific capital gains through an increase in the bond’s price as CBA’s perceived risks declined. This highlights a distinction from normal deposits. Whereas bank deposits never get “revalued”, bonds are repriced every day based on investors’ assessments of the institution’s creditworthiness.

Friday, September 21, 2012

WHERE DO THE MILLIONAIRES LIVE?

Asia-Pacific has overtaken North America as home to the most millionaires for the first time, boosted by a rise in the number of wealthy in China and Japan, a report released on Wednesday showed.

The region had 3.37 million high net worth individuals (HNWIs) in 2011 compared to North America's 3.35 million, a study jointly published by consulting firm Capgemini and RBC Wealth Management found.

Europe possessed 3.17 million HNWIs, which are defined as those having investable assets of $1 million or more excluding their primary residence and luxury possessions including art.

"Asia-Pacific is now home to more high net worth individuals than any other region for the first time," Barend Janssens, head of emerging markets for RBC, told a press conference in Singapore.

Asia-Pacific overtook Europe in 2010 to take second place and a strong growth in the millionaire population -- particularly in Japan and China -- coupled with a fall in the number of the rich in North America led to the region taking first, Janssens said.

"The most significant finding is that Asia-Pacific's population of high net worth individuals grew at a rate of 1.6 percent in 2011, twice the rate of the global population of 0.8 percent," he said.

"This is driven by growth in Japan of up to 4.8 percent and China of up to 5.2 percent."

Japanese formed the bulk of the HNWIs in the Asia-Pacific, constituting 54.1 percent of the total regional population of the rich.

China and Australia ranked second and third at 16.7 percent and 5.3 percent respectively.

Together, the three countries accounted for 76.1 percent of HNWIs in the region.

Despite hosting the most HNWIs, Asia-Pacific still lagged behind in terms of total investable wealth at $10.7 trillion, compared to $11.4 trillion for North America.

International factors such as the eurozone crisis coupled with domestic issues, including, sinking property prices and inflation bit into the pockets of millionaires, said Claire Sauvanaud, vice president of Capgemini Asia-Pacific.

International capital outflows from the region also held back its rich, with China and India seeing $1.6 billion and $4.09 billion in foreign institutional investor funds leave their markets last year, data showed.

But Sauvanaud said the region -- led by economic powerhouses China and India -- would be able to weather the problems.

"The diverse nature of Asia-Pacific exports and economies means the outlook for the region as a whole remains very strong," she stated.

"China and India are the ones to watch. Despite their challenges they are likely to remain two of the fastest-growing economies in the world in the very near future."

Thursday, September 6, 2012

How competitive is Australia


The World Economic Forum (WEF) has updated its list of how countries around the world stack up on its competitiveness scale.
In The Global Competitiveness Index 2012-2013: Strengthening Recovery by Raising Productivity, the WEF “define[s] competitiveness as the set of institutions, policies, and factors that determine the level of productivity of a country”.
The 12 categories the Forum measures uses to decide rankings are: institutions, infrastructure, macroeconomics, health and primary education, goods and market efficiency, higher education and training, labour market efficiency, technological readiness, financial market development, market size, business sophistication, and innovation.
On the updated scale, Australia comes in at No. 20, holding steady at it’s ranking last year, which was down four spots on the year before that. The top 10:
  1. Switzerland (No. 1 last year)
  2. Singapore (No. 2 last year)
  3. Finland (No. 4 last year)
  4. Sweden (No. 3 last year)
  5. Netherlands (No. 7 last year)
  6. Germany (No. 6 last year)
  7. United States (No. 5 last year)
  8. United Kingdom (No. 10 last year)
  9. Hong Kong (No. 11 last year)
  10. Japan (No. 9 last year)
The WEF highlights the strong performance of Asia-Pacific countries in the 2012-2013 survey, noting that six countries from the region made the top 10 (Singapore, Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan, the Republic of Korea and Australia).
On Australia it says: “After losing four positions to faster-improving economies last year, Australia retains its rank of 20th and score of 5.1, just behind Korea. Among the country’s most notable advantages is its efficient and well-developed financial system (8th), supported by a banking sector that counts as among the most stable and sound in the world, ranked 5th. The country earns very good marks in education, placing 15th in primary education and 11th in higher education and training.
“Australia’s macroeconomic situation is satisfactory in the current context (26th). Despite repeated budget deficits, its public debt amounts to a low 23 percent of GDP, the third lowest ratio among the advanced economies, behind only Estonia and Luxembourg.
“The main area of concern for Australia is the rigidity of its labour market
(42nd). Indeed, the business community cites the labour regulations as being the most problematic factor for doing business, ahead of red tape. In addition, although the situation has improved since last year, transport infrastructure continues to suffer bottlenecks owing to the boom in commodity exports.”
Among Australia’s top 10 trading partners for goods and services in 2011 (as defined by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade) the leaderboard stacked up as follows:
  1. China (No. 29 in WEF rankings)
  2. Japan (No. 10)
  3. Republic of Korea (No. 19)
  4. India (No. 59)
  5. United States (No. 7)
  6. United Kingdom (No. 8)
  7. New Zealand (No. 23)
  8. Taiwan (No. 13)
  9. Singapore (No. 2)
  10. Thailand (No. 38)
As for the world’s 10 least competitive countries in descending order out of the 144 nations ranked by WEF, Burundi headed the pack:
  1. Burundi
  2. Sierra Leone
  3. Haiti
  4. Guinea
  5. Yemen
  6. Chad
  7. Mozambique
  8. Lesotho
  9. Timor-Leste
  10. Swaziland

Wednesday, September 5, 2012

September RBA Monetary policy Decision


At its meeting yesterday, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 3.50 per cent.

Financial markets have responded positively over the past couple of months to signs of progress in addressing Europe's financial problems, but expectations for further progress are high.

In Australia, most indicators available for this meeting suggest growth has been running close to trend, led by very large increases in capital spending in the resources sector. 

At the meeting, the Board judged that, with inflation expected to be consistent with the target and growth close to trend, but with a more subdued international outlook than was the case a few months ago, the stance of monetary policy remained appropriate

Thursday, August 2, 2012

Enough already!


Tying gender targets to the remuneration of senior leaders would prevent them from "weaseling" out of initiatives to address the imbalance of women in leadership positions in their organisations, according to Equal Opportunity for Women in the Workplace Agency director Helen Conway.
Speaking to an audience in Sydney on Tuesday night, Conway said we've got more than enough research to show the business case for gender equality in the workplace is clear.
It's time to implement sweeping cultural and infrastructure changes that can address the issue.
And with EOWA's data on women in leadership positions across the ASX 500 due in November, she said the early results indicate that the gender imbalance is even "uglier" across leadership positions in the ASX 200 to 500, surveyed by EOWA for the first time.
Conway told the UN Women and Australian Human Resources Institute event that responsibility for the imbalance must be taken out of the HR department and made a key business priority. She said real change in organisations will require a business model that identifies leadership, focus and accountability as key to success, like any other business initiative.
"It's what people see every day in business," Conway said. "The problem is that people really haven't thought that gender equality is important. Why would you apply a [business] model to something you thought was a piece of trash you put down in the HR department?"
Conway said organisations should set clear, numerical targets for appointing women to leadership positions that do not compromise the merit principle. And the CEO, board and senior leaders must continually and visibly reassert their commitment to gender goals.
"Once you have these targets in place, you must have action plans, you must transparently report your progress against these targets, and there's no other option but to tie it to people's remuneration.
"I've sat in corporates too long to see people weasel out of initiatives. But I tell you they do not weasel out of things when it affects their pocket ... I know this is a crude initiative, and a crude way of doing it. But we're living in a crude world and we need to get progress."
In addition to setting targets, Conway said leaders must commit to cultural and infrastructure change to better address the family and caring responsibilities of employees.
"We need a full complement of flexible practices that are accessed by men and women without disadvantage to people's careers, and we also need to manage flexible careers.
"It is just not right that we are not in a position at the moment where it's not culturally acceptable for men to access flexible work arrangements."
EOWA – which will soon be reformed under new legislation expected to be passed by the Senate in August – recognises the huge challenge ahead for business, said Conway, and is looking to work with the "carrot rather than the stick".
"If we can't crash through a bit now, we will never get to the point of a critical mass of women in these leadership and management positions that we need to be able to create momentum, get traction and to drive ongoing change," she said.
"Once you get that critical mass, change is easier."
But, she added, there's only a limited window of opportunity for change before we run the risk of "gender fatigue", and see equality in the workplace consigned to history as a failure.
"We really don't have a lot of time to hang around on this," she said. "It's quite clear that what we've been doing in the past isn't working. We need a real breakthrough."
Angela Priestley is the editor of Women's Agenda, a new website by Private Media for career-minded women, launching in August.

Wednesday, June 6, 2012

RBA

The RBA was indicating it had plans to cut rates even further this year and yesterday it did just that by a more modest 25 basis points.
But I wouldn't say that things are all that much worse. It seems to me
that the latest move is all about confidence, and mostly about what's
happening in the rest of the world. Governor Stevens barely mentioned
the domestic economy in his explanation yesterday.

And right before the RBA met on Tuesday, global markets had a little
bit of a freak out. US jobs data came in worse than expected on Friday,
as did data on Chinese manufacturing. With Europe still looking like a
basket case, markets had no one they could turn to, and promptly fell
like Wiley Coyote from a cliff. Billions were wiped off the major stock
markets, and when the Australian market finally opened on Monday, it
immediately followed suit, wiping off all the hard-fought gains it had made
since the start of the year (though it has since put much of it back).

Markets are funny things, which is why I prefer property as an investment
class. I don't think the data justified the kind of turn-around in outlook that
followed. But sentiment is everything, and people were panicking. That's
why I think the RBA's move this month is almost entirely about confidence.
As I noted a few weeks ago, it's got heaps of room to move if it wants to,
and so probably figured 25 basis points was a bargain if it could keep
Australia from getting the jitters.

Not that everything in Australia is looking rosy. Far from it. House price
data released last week are a major concern. They show house prices in
the Australian capitals fell 1.4 percent in May to the lowest level in six
years. Hopefully 75 basis points worth of cuts in two months will start
to turn this around. Quickly.

The fundamentals of the Australian economy are still solid, and on a
global scale, are positively outstanding. The RBA will be hoping that
Australians don't lose sight of the ball and get spooked by all the chaos
happening off-shore. If we can do that, we should be able to muddle
through.